Dec 14, 2018
Pretty much every major economic indicator suggests that the Chinese economy will continue its downward momentum in 2019. Industrial production, retail sales, and even the once red-hot property market are all showing real signs of weakness. Some economists even believe that economic growth in China next year will even fall below the psychologically important six percent level.
This is all potentially very troubling news for Africa that is becoming increasingly dependent on the Chinese market to buy its resources and as the primary source of investment capital. And in several African countries, the value of local currencies is effectively linked to Chinese economic data. The South African rand, for example, is valued in line with almost everything that happens in the Chinese economy.
This shouldn't come as a tremendous surprise given China's outsized role in South Africa and as Africa's predominant trading partner.
Beijing-based economist Jeremy Stevens closely studies the Chinese economy and its impact on African risk for his clients at Standard Advisory China, a unit of Africa's largest bank Standard Bank. He joins Eric this week to discuss the Chinese economic outlook for 2019 and what the implications are for Chinese trade and investment with Africa.
Join the discussion. Are you concerned about what will happen if China's economy begins to slow and Chinese slow their buying of African exports? Or do you think this is a good opportunity for Africans to wean themselves from being too dependent on the China market and Chinese loans in particular? Let us know what you think.